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The Cause of Unemployment
With
the advent of automation in the 19th century, and of computers, microchips,
robots and all sorts of wonderful labour-saving devices in the 20th
century, we have thankfully developed technology to such an extent that
automated machines are now capable of doing most of the work. Production
is achieved by people and by machines, however, today, machines have
many advantages and very often are better able to do the work; they
can work faster, longer, and generally speaking more accurately, but
most importantly they do not have to be paid, and so, not only are the
machines better able to do the work, they also cost less. The result
is that to produce a given quantity of goods, companies are progressively
employing more machines and fewer people.
To visualise the extent of the above problem, let's take an imaginary
company producing cheese, coal, cars or whatever, and let's suppose
that fifty years ago it had an annual turnover of €22 million,
and a work-force of 450 people. If we calculate that it had an annual
3% increase in turnover, and a reduction of the same percentage in the
number of people employed, then the annual turnover is increasing while
the number of people involved in producing it, is decreasing. This means
that the Number of People
Employed relative to the
turnover is decreasing at an extremely rapid pace.
The continuous decrease in the number
of people employed, relative to one million euro turnover, becomes obvious
from a glance at the table or graph below. In our theoretical company,
over a fifty year period, the ratio has dropped from 20.5 people employed
per one million euro turnover to only 1 person.
Table 1
The
Number of People Employed Each year per One Million Euro Turnover |
Based
on an annual 3% Increase in Turnover and a 3% Decrease in Employment |
|
Years
Ago |
Number
of People Employed: Decreasing by 3% |
Turnover
in Millions:
Increasing
by 3% |
No. of People
Employed
per €1M
Turnover |
|
Years
Ago |
Number
of People
Employed:
Decreasing
by 3% |
Turnover
in Millions:
Increasing
by 3% |
No. of People
Employed
per €1M
Turnover |
50 |
450 |
22 |
20.5 |
|
25 |
210 |
46.1 |
4.6 |
|
49 |
437 |
22.7 |
19.3 |
|
24 |
204 |
47.4 |
4.3 |
|
48 |
423 |
23.3 |
18.1 |
|
23 |
198 |
48.9 |
4.0 |
|
47 |
411 |
24.0 |
17.1 |
|
22 |
192 |
50.3 |
3.8 |
|
46 |
398 |
24.8 |
16.1 |
|
21 |
186 |
51.8 |
3.6 |
|
45 |
386 |
25.5 |
15.2 |
|
20 |
180 |
53.4 |
3.4 |
|
44 |
375 |
26.3 |
14.3 |
|
19 |
175 |
55.0 |
3.2 |
|
43 |
364 |
27.1 |
13.4 |
|
18 |
170 |
56.7 |
3.0 |
|
42 |
353 |
27.9 |
12.7 |
|
17 |
165 |
58.4 |
2.8 |
|
41 |
342 |
28.7 |
11.9 |
|
16 |
160 |
60.1 |
2.7 |
|
40 |
332 |
29.6 |
11.2 |
|
15 |
155 |
61.9 |
2.5 |
|
39 |
322 |
30.5 |
10.6 |
|
14 |
150 |
63.8 |
2.4 |
|
38 |
312 |
31.4 |
10.0 |
|
13 |
146 |
56.7 |
2.2 |
|
37 |
303 |
32.3 |
9.4 |
|
12 |
141 |
67.6 |
2.1 |
|
36 |
294 |
33.3 |
8.8 |
|
11 |
137 |
69.7 |
2.0 |
|
35 |
285 |
34.3 |
8.3 |
|
10 |
133 |
71.8 |
1.9 |
|
34 |
276 |
35.3 |
7.8 |
|
9 |
129 |
73.9 |
1.7 |
|
33 |
268 |
36.4 |
7.4 |
|
8 |
125 |
76.1 |
1.6 |
|
32 |
260 |
37.5 |
6.9 |
|
7 |
121 |
78.4 |
1.5 |
|
31 |
252 |
38.6 |
6.5 |
|
6 |
118 |
80.8 |
1.5 |
|
30 |
245 |
39.7 |
6.2 |
|
5 |
114 |
83.2 |
1.4 |
|
29 |
237 |
40.9 |
5.8 |
|
4 |
111 |
85.7 |
1.3 |
|
28 |
230 |
42.2 |
5.5 |
|
3 |
108 |
88.3 |
1.2 |
|
27 |
223 |
43.4 |
5.1 |
|
2 |
104 |
90.9 |
1.1 |
|
26 |
217 |
44.7 |
4.8 |
|
1 |
101 |
93.6 |
1.1 |
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This
year |
98 |
96.4 |
1.0 |
Graph 1
| The Annual
Turnover/People Employed Ratio |
| Number
of People Employed per 1€M Turnover |
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This
is designed to give a visual impression, not to graph the above
figures
in the number employed
per 1€M Turnover |
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| 50
Years
Ago |
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40
Years
Ago |
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30
Years
Ago |
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20
Years
Ago
Years |
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10
Years
Ago |
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This
Year
0 |
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In
10
Years? |
In our hypothetical
company fifty years ago there were 20.5 people employed per million
euro turnover, today that figure is down to 1. These figures serve only
to illustrate the dramatic decrease in the Ratio between the Turnover
and the Number of People involved in producing it. The number of people
employed in relation to the turnover is decreasing year after year.
If we, the international community, do not control it, next year fewer
people will be required, each following year the number will be smaller.
Our failure to respond to this Decreasing Ratio is responsible for the
unemployment situation. For us to ignore this economic reality is insane,
it simply perpetuates the necessity for us to continue the process of
replacing people with machines, thus creating an endless downward vortex
of unemployment, of a reduction in the world market, and of the need
to compete even more fiercely, to survive. We do not have to allow the
world's work-force to continue shrinking, we can, and it would be infinitely
better to reverse the situation simply by increasing the ratio which
is presently decreasing. If we do this it creates only three "difficulties"
and all three are easily overcome. In other words, we can create full
employment without creating any problems.
Because of the way the world economy
has evolved in an uncontrolled way, most government ministers and company
directors are "forced" to view the world market is a shrinking
pie, to be fought over. It is possible to expand the market, and in
a way that will secure full employment, co-operation and prosperity.
No individual, company or country can be economically secure so long
as those who manage the economy are "forced" to go on employing
fewer, and moving to geographical areas where the work-force has no
alternative other than to work for survival wages. The solution to our
world's economic situation is not to continue to employ fewer and fewer
people and to find new areas where human beings are forced to work for
smaller and smaller amounts of money. Lack of organisation at an international
level "forces" today's managers to involve themselves in the
business of exploiting those who are economically the world's poorest
and most underprivileged people. The proposed solution will guarantee
that such exploitation will come to an end.
Our intelligence and imagination have
enabled us to design these extraordinary tools of mass
production. We now have a proposal that is fundamentally simple which
will ensure that every individual, company and government
in the world will be extremely well served by this automation.
...
Next
Chapter.
....To
Exit 12 Pg. Document
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